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MODELING AGROFORESTRY
ADOPTION AND HOUSEHOLD DECISION MAKING IN MALAWI
Paul H.
Thangata, Peter .E. Hildebrand, and Christina H. Gladwin
Abstract: Low resource farmers make decisions
about adopting new technologies as part of the overall strategy
for ensuring subsistence and cash income for their food security
needs. This paper reports on a study conducted in Kasungu, Malawi,
southern Africa, to evaluate the potential for small-scale farmers
to adopt improved fallows. Simulations of two representative households,
a male and a female headed, were carried out using dynamic ethnographic
linear programming (ELP) in a ten-year model. Results show that
the adoption pattern for improved fallows is driven by the amount
of land and labor available rather than the gender of the household
head. Female-headed households with insufficient labor may hire
labor for other cropping activities, which enables them to plant
improved fallows. Furthermore, simulations show that when households
are able to sell seed from the woody species in the fallow, both
male and female households stop taking credit for fertilizer for
their cash crop. They still grow the cash crop, in this
case tobacco, but produce most of their maize without chemical
fertilizers. It is concluded that in Kasungu, Malawi, improved
fallows will be adopted in households with sufficient land and
labor.
Editor's
Note
INTRODUCTION
Soil
fertility depletion is considered a major constraint for smallholder
farmers in nutrient–poor tropical soils, especially in sub-Saharan
Africa. High population pressure has led to land shortages and
continuous arable cultivation without fallowing, leading to high
nutrient losses in Malawi where agriculture is the mainstay of
the economy. About 85% of the population in Malawi is rural and
is dependent on agriculture. Long duration natural fallows that
were traditionally used to overcome soil fertility depletion [1] are no longer possible due to increasing
population pressures on the land. The decline in soil fertility
has led to reduced soil productivity and hence more food insecure
households. However, among other benefits, agroforestry has the
potential to improve soil fertility through the maintenance or
increase of soil organic matter and biological N2 fixing
from nitrogen fixing tree species. [2] Agroforestry also protects the soil from
eroding, thereby improving the soil’s productive potential.
Some woody species also provide diversified outputs for smallholder
farmers in the form of fuelwood and poles. In some cases, agroforestry
technologies such as fruit trees can provide a more diverse farm
income and reduce food insecurity. Nair [3] and Young [4] have detailed the benefits of agroforestry.
The
problem of soil fertility has been exacerbated by institutional
constraints such as structural adjustment programs required by
the World Bank and other donors. The impact of these “reforms”
on food security in Malawi and other African countries has been
a reduction in the use of chemical fertilizers that were commonly
used by farmers to replenish soil fertility. Fertilizer
prices have risen sharply in Malawi since the removal of fertilizer
subsidies during the time period from 1986 to 1995. [5] Farmers are able to purchase
very little fertilizer, if any at all. Most affected are women
farmers, who account for over 70% of the food production group
in Malawi [6] and who grow most of the subsistence food
crops.
Recently,
researchers in southern and eastern Africa have reported on the
use of improved fallows as a means to return nutrients to the
soil in a short period of time (e.g., nine months in Kenya with
two rainy seasons to two years in eastern Zambia and Malawi with
one rainy season). [7] Short duration rotations of managed fallows of
sesbania [Sesbania sesban (L) Merr.], tephrosia [Tephrosia
vogelii], and gliricidia [Gliricidia sepium] have
the potential to replenish soil fertility and thereby increase
crop yields of subsequent crops. [8] Consequently, these fallows are being promoted at many
sites throughout the tropics, [9] due to their ability to
improve soil fertility. However, experiences
of agroforestry adoption show that in some cases agroforestry
adoption has generally been low. [10] Furthermore, only recently
has some attention been given to socioeconomic studies relating
to agroforestry adoption. [11] Agroforestry research to date has
predominantly focused on the biophysical aspects, with attention
given mainly to yield benefits from researcher-managed agroforestry
plots. In most cases, comparisons are made only on the maize yield
benefits from agroforestry technology, which disregard the farmer’s
overall loss in maize production by planting part of the farm
with trees.
To promote and increase the adoption of improved
fallows as a sustainable method to increase food production and
environmental protection, both researchers and development workers
should understand the nature of limited-resource family
farms. First of all, these farms are not businesses, but homes
where diversity is a necessity. [12] Their major production goal is to secure sufficient
food supplies for their families. They pursue diverse food procurement
strategies in order to first satisfy home needs, and then sell
any surpluses.
The different strategies pursued by farmers have
significant implications for the types of technologies they are
able to adopt. For example, the introduction of a new technology,
such as an agroforestry innovation, may require fundamental changes
in the way farm families approach their farming methods. Hildebrand
has argued that researchers report on averages, which often misrepresent
limited-resource farmers’ real situations. [13] The rationale for this argument is
that averages have little meaning in limited-resource family-farm
households, who are so risk-averse that they base their expectations
on a worst-case scenario of a bad-weather year, not on an “average
year.” Researchers who assume farmers expect average
yields may therefore find their models do not predict the reality
of the small, limited-resource farm. Due to this misunderstanding
of resource–limited farms, researchers and extension workers
often wrongly conclude that farmers are ungrateful laggards when
they do not adopt agricultural technologies. [14]
In
order to increase acceptability and promote wider adoption of
improved fallows by resource-poor farmers, it is important to
identify and analyze factors that affect the technology's adoptability
for farm households with differing characteristics such as household
composition and gender of the household head. [15] Gender of the household head plays an important
role in the productivity of smallholder farming systems. Differences
in the household's access to land and labor resources, financial
and commodity markets, significantly influence cultivated land
size, kind of crops planted, and farm income. [16] Relatively, African women farmers get lower
crop yields than men; [17] but this is due to differences in the intensity
of input use such as inorganic fertilizers, labor, credit, and
extension education. [18] Given the same resources, Adesina
and Djato found no differences in the efficiency of men and women
in African agriculture and concluded that women are equally good
farm managers as men. [19] When women have control over resources,
however, they tend to use them differently than men, often spending
more on their children, with different results for the welfare
of the household. [20] Their choice of cropping
activities is therefore different from that of the males, and
tends to focus on food rather than cash crops. A deeper understanding
of household decision-making will thus help policy makers and
technology developers target individuals in the most effective
way.
Gender also plays a role in the adoption of agroforestry technologies.
Previous studies of adoption of improved fallow technologies in
eastern Zambia show that female headed households are more likely
to adopt improved fallows than are male headed households, holding
constant other factors such as household size, previous experience
with natural fallows, age and club membership of the household
head. [21] It remains to be seen, however, whether
or not this will also be the case in other, more populated regions
of sub-Saharan Africa where improved fallow technologies are now
being tested and promoted.
BACKGROUND TO IMPROVED FALLOWS IN MALAWI
The improved fallow technology in Malawi was
introduced in 1997 after ICRAF initiated
farmer-to-farmer contact with early adopters of improved fallows
in eastern Zambia. In November of 1997, 18 farmers from
Kasungu crossed the border into eastern Zambia, where farmers are at an advanced stage in the testing of improved
fallows, and were given hands-on training on the planting and
management of improved fallows of sesbania, tephrosia,
and gliricidia tree species. Reportedly, they returned to
Malawi determined to plant their own improved fallows trial plots. [22]
Unlike the southern part of Malawi, smallholder
land holdings in Kasungu are slightly higher than the national
average. Table 1 shows that in Kasungu ADD in the 1992/93 season,
only 34% of plots (called gardens in Malawi) were less than 1
hectare; while almost 43% of gardens were between 1
and 1.99 hectares and 23% were at least 2 hectares. [23] Therefore, land availability is adequate
in Kasungu when compared to southern Malawi. In fact, ICRAF introduced
the improved fallow technology in Kasungu because farmers there
have relatively more land than average in Malawi. In addition,
the improved fallow technology is targeted at those farmers with
large landholdings. Because we drew our sample from the
ICRAF list of testers of the technology, the sample of farmers
chosen for this study also have larger-than-average landholdings
for Kasungu.
Table 1. Land holding sizes in Malawi by Agricultural
Development Division (ADD)
Source: National Sample Survey of agriculture
1992/93 Volume II
This
paper evaluates the potential of adopting improved fallows by
the Kasungu farmers who are now testing improved fallows.
Ethnographic linear programming (ELP) is used to assess whether
adoption of improved fallows is feasible and economically viable
for these smallholder farmers, given their agro-climatic and socioeconomic
conditions. The next section of the paper gives the description
of the study area and an outline of the study methodology. It
also establishes the modeling framework and details the main resource
constraints included in the model, and describes the results and
discussion.
METHODOLOGY
The research
was conducted in Kasungu (13° 1' 60S, 33° 28' 60E), central Malawi,
in the Kasungu Agricultural Development Division (KADD) agroecosystem.
Kasungu district covers 14% of the country and contains 11% of
the country's total rural population covering four administrative
districts of Kasungu, Dowa East, Ntchisi, and Mchinji. Kasungu
experiences a warm tropical climate characterized by a unimodal
rainfall pattern with a wet season of approximately five months,
running from November/ December to March/April with erratic rains
ranging from 500 to 1200 mm per year and a prolonged dry season
for the rest of the year. The town of Kasungu lies at an altitude
of 1342 meters and has a mean annual temperature of 19-22.5°C.
The soils are predominant oxisols, ultisols, and alfisols (USDA
taxonomy). [24] Specifically, the study was conducted in
two extension-planning areas (EPAs), Chulu (13° 40' 60S, 33° 40'
0E) lying at 1211 meters above sea level and Kasungu–Chipala
(13° 0' 0S, 33° 28' 60E) at 1151 meters above sea level (Figure
1).
 |
DEMOGRAPHICS AND ECONOMIC ACTVITIES
Kasungu has
a population of 476,000 people (about 51.5% are male). Of the
total district population, 52% of the people are under 18 years
old. [25] Most of the people in the rural areas of
Kasungu are farmers. About 52% of the women in the area are involved in farming activities
(Table 2).
Table 2. People aged 10 years
and over and the economic activities by gender in Kasungu.
Source: National Statistical Office (1998) Malawi
Population and Housing Census.
Crop Production
The major crops
grown by all farmers in the area are maize (Zea mays L
), tobacco ( Nicotiana tabacum L.), the main cash crop,
and groundnuts (Arachis hypogaea L.). In Kasungu,
maize production occupies 70% of the cultivated area, followed
by groundnuts (12%), and tobacco (3-10%). Crop rotation is a requirement
for tobacco producers in order to reduce disease/ pest infestation.
Groundnuts are important in the farming system. [26] Due to low producer prices, however,
groundnut production has decreased in recent years.
Minor crops include cassava and sweet potatoes. Some beans
and/or bambara nuts are planted as intercrops with maize.
Vegetables are grown in the wetland areas (dambos), mostly during
the dry season. However, most of the wetland areas are used
for tobacco nurseries.
Tobacco
is given the first priority together with maize, followed by groundnuts.
Tobacco is sown in nurseries and transplanted from October to
December or early January. Minae and Msuku [27] report that planting of the tobacco nursery
starts early, around July-August. Field preparation
starts soon after harvesting in April, but not on all farms.
Tobacco and maize fields are prepared first and made ready for
planting when rains come. Peak labor periods are September
to December. Planting depends on the start of the rains,
amount of rainfall and distribution (mostly October/ November).
Tobacco can be dry planted in December as long as farmers are
sure of rainfall within two to four weeks. Weeding requires
large amounts of labor and is done from December to February or
when weeds appear for all crops. Towards the end of February,
farmers who plant early can start harvesting tobacco. In
most cases, cassava and sweet potatoes are planted during land
preparation.
The
family is the main source of labor, although some households that
can manage do hire labor. Communal labor is common at maize
harvest but not at tobacco harvest. Men sometimes help each
other in grading and baling tobacco. There is a very limited
use of ox-plows, but the majority of farmers use hand tools. The
farmers in this study consider hiring equipment too expensive.
Data Collection
Data collection
in this study occurred between September and December 1999 and
again between June and August 2001. Primary data collected in
1999 involved household surveys, participatory rural appraisals
(PRA), and informal interviews to produce data for the ethnographic
linear programming (ELP) models. First, meetings were held with
extension workers. Group meetings followed with farmers from the
two areas, Chulu
and Kasungu–Chipala. Later, using structured and semi-structured
questionnaires, detailed formal interviews were conducted with
ten households, randomly sampled from the extension agent’s
list of testers of the technology. Different households were selected
so that they could eventually serve as representations of different
recommendation domains. [28]
Secondary data, such as yield data, were gathered from ICRAF,
the Malawi Agroforestry Extension Project (MAFE), and the Kasungu
Agricultural Development Division. The first author conducted
all the interviews, but the third author also later visited some
of the households. Ethnographic linear programming (ELP) models
were developed for each of the ten households interviewed. Two
representative households are reported in this paper.
In 2001,
the ten households interviewed in 1999 were re-visited to test
the models' prediction ability, and to validate and check areas
where the models needed improvements. Discussions were held with
farmers to see whether the models' preliminary output results
adequately depicted what they produce and how. Another 31 farmers
were interviewed to ascertain the labor data and to check how
well the models selected from the households interviewed in 1999
represent the community by comparing the household compositions,
labor availability, and food requirements.
MODEL FRAMEWORK
The model is a ten-year, dynamic linear programming
model. The matrix of technical coefficients is identical for all
households, but the resource endowments change with each new household
solved in the model. The model maximizes an objective function,
e.g., household income or food production, subject to constraints
on the household, such as cash, labor and land, after meeting
home consumption requirements. The ELP models used in this study
are ethnographic in nature, meaning that specification of the
objective function and constraints in this model were determined
based on interview data from the Kasungu farmers.
Ethnographic
linear programming (ELP) simulates the farmers' strategies by
choosing between different alternative livelihood activities available
to farmers in the region and representing different degrees of
crop intensity, labor, and land saving techniques available.
It takes into account their respective costs, constraints, and
advantages, as they report them. It is an adaptation of
linear programming that Hildebrand and others at the University
of Florida have developed. [29] ELPs are a means of quantifying
ethnographic data, mostly qualitative, and are thus both descriptive
and analytic. By modeling all the activities of and constraints
on the farming household, they help researchers understand the
complexity and diversity of smallholder farming systems.
The objective function in the ELP is represented
by the general format:

where
Z in this model is the discretionary cash income farmers
have at the end of the year after using their constrained resources
(represented by the rows of the matrix) to engage in different
livelihood activities (represented by the columns of the matrix).
C is the row vector of enterprise year-end cash, x
is a column vector of enterprise levels (and all x’s
are equal to or greater than zero), A is a matrix of technical
coefficients, and b is a column vector of farm resource endowments
or consumption requirements on the right hand side of the inequality
sign. The rows of the matrix also represent the constraints
farming households operate under; for example, they must meet
necessary cash expenses and provide food security in the household
given their resources such as land, labor and cash (b).
The consumption constraints in the model reflect the need for
the households to first satisfy household food requirements before
marketing any surplus. To specify consumption constraints,
minimum food requirements for the household are specified for
each crop. The particular model size reflects the detailed
specification of the relationships of different activities being
represented. The model was implemented in MS Excel® [30] spreadsheet. MS Microsoft Visual Basic®
2000 [31] was used to make calling
and solving different households easy and flexible. The
premium add-in solver [32] for Excel was used to handle
the large number of variables.
Assumptions Of The Model With Respect To Production
Activities
The model makes
certain assumptions about smallholder production, based on farmer
reports. For example, crops in Kasungu are assumed to be
monocrops. They include maize, the staple food; tobacco,
the cash crop; and sweet potatoes, cassava, and groundnuts.
Improved fallows of sesbania and tephrosia are considered as alternative
cropping activities that can be planted every year and thus are
also represented by columns in the matrix. Maize is produced
either fertilized or non-fertilized, or following a two-year improved
fallow of sesbania or tephrosia. Because the improved fallow
trees can be planted every year, maize can be planted after the
fallow plots every year after the second year. Tobacco,
the main cash crop, is never planted after the fallow trees, because
both sesbania and tephrosia are hosts to root knot nematode, and
tobacco is susceptible to nematode attack. Due to storage
and marketing problems, the model also limits the production of
sweet potatoes and cassava to 0.25 and 0.33 hectares respectively.
Minimum food requirements used in the model are presented in Table
3. The data used in the model (e.g., total input costs
for each cropping activity, yield and price data for each activity),
are presented in the bottom rows of Table 4.
Table 3. Minimum food requirements for a household
for each crop in kilograms per year.
RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS
IN THE MODEL
The model also
makes certain assumptions about the limits to farmers’ use
of cash and agricultural input credit. Most households have
limited cash available to them; the total amount of cash inputs
available is enough for one hectare of purchased fertilizer, seed,
nursery chemicals, and transportation to the auction floors in
the case of tobacco. Farmers who plant tobacco also have
access to credit. Women farmers, especially FHHs, split the fertilizer
received on credit for tobacco and apply a portion of it on their
maize crop. In 1999/2000, the interest rate for loans was 55%.
The model also allows for cash to be transferred from one year
to the next to be used for purchasing agricultural inputs.
Labor
Assumptions
Similarly, the model makes assumptions about
farmers’ use of labor, again based on farmer reports.
The labor data used in the model (in labor-person days)
for each activity are presented in the top rows of Table 4. It
is assumed that each adult male or female in the household provides
25 labor days in a month. Because the harvesting of tobacco is
quite labor demanding, households may hire additional labor from
outside the region and pay them a lump sum payment at the end
of the season after tobacco sales. This is in contrast to
maize, for which additional labor demands can be met by communal
labor.
The model separates out labor inputs by gender
and by month; and labor supply in any calendar month is the total
amount of labor available from the contribution of all household
members and hired labor. Because women are responsible for
childcare, the number of infants (under 5 years old) reduces the
female labor contribution to production in a household. Therefore,
labor from a female with an infant is reduced from the 25 labor
days available in a month to 22 labor days, due to childcare activities.
Most cropping activities are done either by men or women. Males,
however, are responsible for most of the tobacco activities; while
groundnut production and maize transportation are mostly a woman’s
job. For school-going adolescents, labor contributions vary, depending
on whether they live at home during the school year. As the children
in the household grow, they also contribute more labor (and require
more food), and the data in the model reflect these changes.
Table 4. Summary of crop activities,
income and resource use for production activities on a per hectare
basis as used in the matrix.
MODELING
GENDER DIFFERENCES
To model gender
differences, two representative households, a male-headed household
(MHH) and a female-headed household (FHH) were simulated.
The MHH is composed of one adult male, one adult female and two
boys in the 6-10 age group. The FHH has one adult female
and four adolescent children, three girls of school age (11-14)
and one younger girl, under 10 years old. The MHH is assumed
to have 2.12 ha of land (the median land size of the 32 MHHs in
this sample); while the FHH has 2.55 ha of land (the median land
size of the eight FHHs in this sample). [33] The households have the option to take credit
in the form of farm inputs, and both households have the option
to hire labor.
At
the initial stage of diffusion of improved fallow technologies,
ICRAF and other NGOs were buying seeds from sesbania and tephrosia
to give to other farmers. Sales of tree seeds amount to a windfall
profit for early adopters and a monetary incentive to adopt improved
fallow technologies for late adopters. This was a temporary benefit,
which has almost stopped. To evaluate whether this additional
income from improved-fallow seeds enhances adoption, and to test
under what conditions farmers adopt improved fallow technologies,
we test two scenarios. In scenario 1, farmers do not sell
sesbania or tephrosia seeds; in scenario 2, there is a market
for the seeds. In both scenarios, we run simulations with all
crops and both fallow species, and solve for the optimal resource
allocation, and see if farmers adopt improved fallow technologies.
The only difference between scenarios 1 and 2 is that scenario
2 allows the households to engage in selling sesbania and tephrosia
seed both to their neighbors and ICRAF personnel.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
In dynamic modeling,
we start the first season with an arbitrary amount of cash available
in the model. therefore the first year is not representative.
Starting from year 1, cash can be transferred to the following
season. From experience the arbitrary amount can also affect the
second year. By the third year, this effect disappears. therefore,
the first two years are not reported in this study.
End-of-planning-horizon
effects have to be taken into account. These are situations
whereby the model chopsoff the analysis at some finite time in
the future. Because there is no future in the model in the
last years of the dynamic program, it can see no benefits from
certain activities in those years (such as livestock production
or multi-year agroforestry trials), and so it eliminates those
activities from the "optimal solution" in the last years
of the program.
Because improved
fallows planted in the 9th and 10th year do not yield any benefits
until after the 10th year, when the model has ended, the model
chooses only those activities that are of benefit to the farm
in the 9th and 10th year and thus drops
agroforestry activities from the simulated results in those last
two years. To reflect the above dynamic , only results from years
three to eight are reported.
Scenario 1. Simulations without seed selling
activity in the male-headed household (MHH)
Table 5 summarizes the results
of the MHH without the seed selling activity. Without the
option of selling improved fallow seeds, the results show the
MHH plants over half a hectare of improved fallows in all years,
with more sesbania planted than tephrosia. This is despite the
fact that sesbania establishment requires nursery management like
tobacco and hence requires more labor. This can be due to the
fact that although tephrosia is directly seeded like maize and
therefore needs less labor, the maize yield following the sesbania
fallows is greater than after tephrosia. As a result, there is
a slow but steady expansion of land under sesbania fallow.
The household
plants similar amounts of tobacco and groundnuts and sufficient
cassava or sweet potatoes to satisfy consumption requirements.
No labor is employed and family members do all the work. The household
uses less total land than available in all years and a tobacco
loan is taken in each year, but it is unable to keep any cash
for future use and there is no discretionary cash income. [34]
Table
5. Simulated crop production (ha) activities for MHH without seed
selling
|
Activities |
------------------------------------Year----------------------------------- |
|
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
|
Production
(ha) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New
Sesbania |
0.23 |
0.36 |
0.20 |
0.40 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
|
New
Tephrosia |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Old
Sesbania |
0.15 |
0.23 |
0.36 |
0.20 |
0.34 |
0.38 |
|
Old
Tephrosia |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Fert.
Maize |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
IF
Maize |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.33 |
0.44 |
0.30 |
0.44 |
|
New
IF |
0.33 |
0.46 |
0.30 |
0.50 |
0.48 |
0.46 |
|
Year
Old IF |
0.25 |
0.33 |
0.46 |
0.30 |
0.44 |
0.48 |
|
Total
IF |
0.58 |
0.79 |
0.76 |
0.80 |
0.92 |
0.94 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tobacco |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
|
Groundnut |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Cassava |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
|
Sweet
potato |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
|
Total
land |
1.03 |
1.24 |
1.33 |
1.51 |
1.49 |
1.65 |
|
Selling (kg) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tobacco |
61 |
61 |
63 |
65 |
66 |
65 |
|
Cash
(US$) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loan |
21 |
21 |
24 |
27 |
28 |
27 |
|
End
Year Cash |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
In all years, all the maize for
home consumption comes from land previously in improved fallows
and, starting from the 6th year, there is an increase
(in fact, a doubling) in the amount of land planted to maize from
improved fallow land. This increase could be due to the increased
food requirements and labor contribution from the children in
the household as they age. In our judgment, however, the
expansion of maize production is caused by the large decrease
in the costs of growing maize with improved fallow technologies.
As the input-costs row of Table 4 shows, it is cheaper to grow
maize with the improved fallow technologies (US$ 18.5) rather
than with purchased inorganic fertilizers (US$ 98). As a result,
the model predicts farmers expand their improved fallow plots
and maize plantings in those plots, and grow no maize planted
with expensive inorganic fertilizers.
Scenario 1. Simulations without seed selling
activity in the female-headed household (FHH)
Results show
the FHH adopts improved fallows as the MHH; she plants at least
half a hectare of sesbania fallow in five of the six years of
the time period, along with 0.2 ha of tephrosia fallow. This result
is in line with those reported by Gladwin et al. [35] from eastern Zambia that FHHs adopt improved
fallow technologies; and is not surprising, given the larger farm
size of the small sample of FHHs in this study. Indeed, it is
only surprising because to date FHHs in eastern Zambia have planted
only very small plots of improved fallows and are struggling to
plant plots of one-fourth a hectare.
Table
6. Simulated crop production (ha) activities for FHH without a
seed selling activity.
|
Activities |
-------------------------------------Year----------------------------------- |
|
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
|
Production
(ha) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New
Sesbania |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.33 |
0.28 |
|
New
Tephrosia |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
|
Old
Sesbania |
0.31 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.33 |
|
Old
Tephrosia |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Fert.
Maize |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
IF
Maize |
0.39 |
0.41 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.39 |
|
New
IF |
0.34 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.39 |
0.43 |
0.39 |
|
Year
Old IF |
0.41 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.39 |
0.43 |
|
Total
IF |
0.75 |
0.68 |
0.72 |
0.75 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tobacco |
0.06 |
0.19 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
|
Groundnut |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
|
Cassava |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
|
Sweet
potato |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
|
Total
land |
1.35 |
1.45 |
1.33 |
1.34 |
1.41 |
1.42 |
|
Selling
(kg) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tobacco |
44.3 |
133.7 |
51.2 |
55.4 |
59.3 |
64.8 |
|
Cash
(US$) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loan |
20.4 |
42.5 |
21.2 |
22.5 |
23.5 |
26.5 |
|
End
Year Cash |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Like the MHH, the FHH plants
simular amounts of tobacco and groundnuts. However, since
tobacco requires more labor, the FHH hires male labor. The hired
labor has to be fed daily, as well as paid at the end of the season.
Therefore, hired labor results in the need to plant more maize.
The need for cash for home use dictates that they grow
tobacco, which requires a loan, and the hired labor increases
the maize consumption requirements.
A comparison of Tables 5 and 6 show both households
plant tobacco, probably since it is their only source of income.
Without any other source of cash, the households need to grow
tobacco and take tobacco loans with an interest rate of 55%. Although
the MHH may employ labor, the model opts not to, because there
is enough family labor.
Scenario 2. Simulations with a seed selling activity-MHH
Table
7. Simulated crop production (ha) and selling activities for MHH
with a seed selling activity.
|
Activities |
---------------------------------Year------------------------------------- |
|
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
|
Production
(ha) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New
Sesbania |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.19 |
0.23 |
0.21 |
|
New
Tephrosia |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
|
Old
Sesbania |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.19 |
0.23 |
|
Old
Tephrosia |
0.16 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
|
Fert.
Maize |
0.00 |
0.23 |
0.10 |
0.36 |
0.21 |
0.13 |
|
IF
Maize |
0.39 |
0.23 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.29 |
|
New
IF |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.29 |
0.34 |
0.32 |
|
Year
Old IF |
0.30 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
0.29 |
0.34 |
|
Total
IF |
0.52 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
0.51 |
0.63 |
0.66 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tobacco |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.20 |
0.30 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
|
Groundnut |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.09 |
0.15 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Cassava |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
|
Sweet
potato |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
|
Total
land |
1.80 |
1.83 |
1.62 |
2.12 |
2.07 |
2.09 |
|
Selling
(kg) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tobacco |
136 |
156 |
137 |
210 |
230 |
219 |
|
Maize |
566 |
923 |
0 |
672 |
0 |
0 |
|
Groundnut |
51 |
52 |
0 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
|
Cassava |
765 |
765 |
750 |
735 |
735 |
735 |
|
Sweet
potato |
565 |
565 |
550 |
535 |
535 |
535 |
|
Sesbania seed |
253 |
159 |
151 |
162 |
207 |
264 |
|
Tephrosia
seed |
114 |
92 |
92 |
92 |
94 |
97 |
|
Cash
(US$) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loan |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Cash
Transfer |
68 |
50 |
94 |
83 |
75 |
92 |
|
End
Year Cash |
510 |
412 |
244 |
303 |
256 |
219 |
When an improved
fallow seed-selling activity is introduced as an incentive to
adopt the improved fallow technology, the MHH grows more tobacco
than in scenario 1, but does not take a loan. Ccash from selling
sesbania and tephrosia seeds results in the households having
enough cash without the need to take loans for their tobacco.
When compared
to scenario 1, there is an increase in the total land used, but
a decrease in the total land planted to improved fallows.
Because the household does not take any loans, it produces more
tobacco using the cash from the seed selling activity, grows some
fertilized maize, and sells surplus maize. The MHH has discretionary
cash at the end of the season, and the household is able to transfer
some cash for subsequent years. The MHH does not need to pay for
hired labor costs, and therefore produces maize, groundnuts, cassava,
and sweet potato for sale to cover cash needs.
Scenario 2: Simulations with a seed-selling activity in a FHH
With the additional option of selling improved-fallow
seeds (to ICRAF or to neighbors), the FHH plants even more land
to improved fallows (e.g., 0.7 ha of sesbania in year 3).
The FHH also plants more improved fallows than the MHH, as was
the case in scenario 1 (Tables 4 and 6). However, she gradually
reduces the land planted in sesbania fallows from 0.7 ha in year
3 to 0.5 ha in years 4 and 5 to 0.3 ha in years 7 and 8.
This household also plants
more maize following improved fallows in year 3, but gradually
reduces land in maize following an improved fallow in latter years.
As improved fallow land decreases,
the household also plants less and less “improved-fallow
maize” and even fertilizes maize (0.1 ha) in years 5, 7
and 8. The household has surplus maize for sale in years
3, 4 and 6. It also increases land for tobacco production,
probably due to the windfall profits from
the seed selling activity, but also maintains groundnut
production as in scenario 1. Due to the sales of sesbania and
tephrosia seeds as well as sales of tobacco, the FHH has more
end year cash than the MHH. This is probably due, however,
to the larger land size of FHHs in this sample.
Table
8. Simulated crop production (ha) and selling activities for FHH
with a seed selling activity.
|
Activities |
----------------------------------Year-------------------------------------- |
|
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
|
Production
(ha) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New
Sesbania |
0.10 |
0.39 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.17 |
0.14 |
|
New
Tephrosia |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.21 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Old
Sesbania |
0.55 |
0.10 |
0.39 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.17 |
|
Old
Tephrosia |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.21 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Fert.
Maize |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
|
IF
Maize |
0.62 |
0.65 |
0.20 |
0.45 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
|
New
IF |
0.20 |
0.49 |
0.31 |
0.20 |
0.27 |
0.25 |
|
Year
Old IF |
0.65 |
0.20 |
0.49 |
0.31 |
0.20 |
0.27 |
|
Total
IF |
0.85 |
0.69 |
0.80 |
0.51 |
0.47 |
0.52 |
| |
0.93 |
0.56 |
0.24 |
0.17 |
0.23 |
0.25 |
|
Tobacco |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
|
Groundnut |
0.03 |
0.31 |
0.29 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
|
Cassava |
0.03 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
|
Sweet
potato |
0.93 |
0.56 |
0.24 |
0.17 |
0.23 |
0.25 |
|
Total
land |
2.55 |
2.55 |
2.00 |
1.85 |
1.74 |
1.81 |
|
Selling
(kg) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tobacco |
650 |
394 |
167 |
116 |
164 |
173 |
|
Maize |
566 |
923 |
0 |
672 |
0 |
0 |
|
Groundnut |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
25 |
0 |
|
Cassava |
0 |
701 |
648 |
750 |
750 |
750 |
|
Sweet
potato |
0 |
550 |
550 |
550 |
550 |
550 |
|
Sesbania
seed |
597 |
425 |
278 |
263 |
138 |
168 |
|
Tephrosia
seed |
92 |
92 |
108 |
129 |
93 |
93 |
|
Cash
(US$) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loan |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Cash
Transfer |
110 |
60 |
40 |
61 |
66 |
77 |
|
End
Year Cash |
1304 |
751 |
370 |
289 |
198 |
171 |
With a seed selling incentive,
the FHH generates enough cash from selling sesbania and tephrosia
seeds, and therefore no longer takes a tobacco loan. As a result,
Table 8 shows that land allocated to tobacco is increased substantially
in the third and fourth year. Unlike the MHH, the FHH grows less
fertilized maize, but also grows other crops like groundnut, cassava
and sweet potatoes following the MHH trend. The FHH maintains
a production of 0.1 ha of groundnut. The household transfers cash
to be used in the next season.
CONCLUSIONS
This study predicts
that where sufficient land is available as in Kasungu, Malawi,
adoption of improved fallow technologies will occur. Farmers with
access to land and a productive labor force are going to adopt
improved fallows, with or without the extra incentive of also
being able to sell the tree seeds back to those promoting the
technology (e.g., ICRAF or other NGOs). With the seed-selling
activity available, however, adopters of improved fallows expand
the size of their improved fallow plots, as well as the amount
of maize they produce. They may then produce a surplus of
maize and increase the size of land planted to the cash crop,
tobacco. Success may come at a price, however, as they can
then afford to buy some fertilizer, and will in that case plant
some fertilized maize and eventually decrease the amount of land
planted to improved fallows.
With hired
labor labor FHHs are able to plant more land to improved fallows,
in year three, than MHHs. This same result,
however, may not hold in other regions of Africa where FHHs have
less land than MHHs, and less access to labor. Land
holdings in Kasungu are relatively larger than in southern and
some of the other districts in central Malawi and therefore, these
findings might not be generalizable to areas where land holdings
are small. Another point to consider is the source of cash in
a farming system. In Kasungu, tobacco is the only cash crop and
assuming there were other cash crops requiring less labor, these
results would likely be different. With this is in mind we concur
with Sullivan (in this volume) [36] and Gladwin et al. [37] who
suggest that researchers should disaggregate households by household
composition as well as by gender, and target new technologies
at subgroups of rural women. This is because small scale farmers
are not all alike, and will not respond equally to a technological
intervention. This also applies to agroforestry innovations. The results of this study therefore specifically
deal with Kasungu and not the whole of Malawi. Apart from land
constraints, in order to
evaluate the adoptability of agroforestry technologies, it is
necessary to determine the availability of labor in the household,
which is an important factor in the degree of adoptability of
improved fallows.
It can also
be concluded that farmers plant tobacco as a way of getting inorganic
fertilizers for their maize. They raise enough tobacco to be able
to repay the loan and to pay for hired labor. A high price from
sales of tree seeds might encourage farmers to plant less tobacco
and more improved fallows. Those households with enough labor
and land are likely adopters. As observed in this study, when
seed selling was introduced, the FHH stopped taking a tobacco
loan.
Our analysis shows that in Kasungu, FHHs without
adolescent male children employ male labor for the tobacco growing
activities, most of which are done by males. In FHHs where there
are male adolescents, the male children take the role of a male
head in these households, and provide labor for work demanded
by crops like tobacco. This allows FHHs to spend their time planting
improved fallows rather than tobacco during the rainy season,
in addition to other women’s tasks such as fetching water,
firewood collection, cooking and childrearing. It appears that
in Malawi, adoption of improved fallows can happen in both MHHs
and FHHs, as long as land and labor available.
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NOTES
[1] Nye and Greenland, 1960
[5] Gladwin 1991;
Zeller et al., 1998
[6] Quisumbing et al., 1995
[7] Kwesiga and Beniest, 1999; Jama et al., 1998.
[8] Kwesiga, et.al.,
1999; Sanchez,
1999
[9] Franzel, 1999; Sanchez 1999
[11] Kwesiga, et. al., 1999;
Franzel, 1999; Franzel, et al., 2001; Gladwin et al., 2001; Gladwin, et al., 2002
[16] Due et al., 1983; Due and Gladwin, 1991; Quisumbing,
1996
[19] Adesina
and Djato, 1997
[20] Frankenberger
and Coyle, 1992
[21] Gladwin,
et al., 2002
[23] NSSA, 1994; The NSSA has defined a
garden as a small or large piece of land that might be continuous
and one garden may have several different crops.
[24] Young
and Brown, 1962
[26] Minae and Msuku, 1988
[27] Minae and Msuku, 1988
[28] Hildebrand
and Russell, 1996
[29] Cabrero,1999; Bastides,2000; Kaya et. al., 2000; Litow, 2000; Hildebrand, 2002c; Sullivan 2000; Mudhara, 2002;
Thangata, 2002
[31] MS Visual Basic® 2000
[32] Frontline Systems, 2000
[33] FHHs are slightly underrepresented
in this sample of 40 farmers, as they usually comprise 25-35%
of households in Malawi. Their surprisingly large land size,
larger than that of MHHs, is probably due to the presence in
this small sample of two FHHs who own 5 and 6 ha of land. Half
of the FHHs in this sample owned and operated only 1.5 ha of
land, which is more in line with other reports of mean land
size in Kasungu (Gladwin 1987). Due to the small number
of FHHs in this sample, however, their data could not be omitted.
Hence, FHHs in this sample own and operate more land than the
MHHs, in contradiction with the WID literature on FHHs.
It is understandable, however, given that ICRAF extension personnel
were purposefully looking for larger farmers to test the improved
fallow technologies in Kasungu, and this sample came from their
list of tester-adopters.
[34] Grinold,1983;
Schrage,1997
[35] Gladwin, et al., 2002
[36] Sullivan-
this volume;
[37] Gladwin
et al., 2001
Paul Thangata has received his PhD from
the College of Natural Resources and Environment, Interdisciplinary
Ecology Program, University of Florida, 103 Black Hall,
Gainesville, FL 32611-6455, USA. Peter Hildebrand is Acting
Director, International Programs-IFAS and Professor in the Department
of Food
and Resource Economics, University of Florida, PO Box
110240 IFAS, Gainesville FL 32611-0410, USA. Christina Gladwin
is Professor, Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Florida, PO Box 110240 IFAS, Gainesville, FL 32611-0410,
USA. The authors are grateful for the patience and hospitality
of farmers interviewed in Kasungu, Malawi, and for the help
of the Rockefeller Foundation and the “Gender and Soil
Fertility in Africa” project funded by USAID Soils CRSP.
All errors and omissions are the responsibilities of the authors.
Reference Style: The
following is the suggested format for referencing this article: Thangata, Paul H., Peter .E. Hildebrand, and
Christina H. Gladwin. "Modeling Agroforestry Adoption and
Household Decision Making in Malawi." African Studies Quarterly
6, no. 1&2: [online] URL: http://web.africa.ufl.edu/asq/v6/v6i1a11.htm
Editor's
Note:
Readers please note that due to an oversight a draft version of
the present article was online from July 30, 2002 until August 23,
2002. The current article replaces that version. Readers who may
have cited material from the article should take special note of
this change. We apologize for the inconvenience.
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